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Once-promising negotiations for a brokered truce with China have all but stopped—Navarro says,
原本充满希望的，通过斡旋与中国达成停火协议的谈判已经中止——纳瓦罗说，
“Our phone lines are open”—and trade officials are stretched thin dealing with other fights with Canada, Mexico and a raft of European countries.
“我们的电话线路是开放的”——贸易官员们已经疲于应付与加拿大、墨西哥以及许多欧洲国家的争端。
“We have a front opened up on the E.U., China and NAFTA,” says Carlos Gutierrez,
“我们同欧盟，中国，北美自由贸易协定圈都已经开战，”
the U.S. Secretary of Commerce under George W. Bush and chair of the Albright Stonebridge Group.
曾任乔治·W·布什政府的商务部长，现任奥尔布赖特石桥集团董事长卡洛斯·古铁雷斯说道。
“That’s pretty much the world’s economy right there.”
“差不多相当于对整个世界经济开战了。”
YOU MAY NOT HAVE FELT the pinch of the trade war yet,
大环境或许还没有感受到贸易战带来的冲击，
but experts say that if Trump continues as promised, large swaths of the American public will get hit.
但专家表示，如果特朗普继续我行我素，将会有大量美国民众深受贸易战的影响。
To understand the effects of tariffs,
要了解关税的影响，
look no further than washing machines and solar panels, for which Trump announced tariffs in January.
大家不必舍近求远，只需看看特朗普今年1月宣布的对洗衣机和太阳能电池板征收关税一事的后果就知道了。
The price of laundry equipment has spiked 17% over the past three months after years of decline, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data.
美国劳工统计局的数据显示，洗衣设备的价格多年来一直在持续下跌，但过去三个月已经回涨了足足17%。
And more than $2.5 billion in U.S. solar projects have been scrapped thanks to the tariffs, according to a Reuters analysis.
路透社的分析报告显示，因为关税，还有价值超过25亿美元的太阳能项目被取消。
The new retaliatory tariffs announced by Beijing take aim at $50 billion in goods from industries in politically sensitive places:
北京推出的报复性关税政策将矛头对准了500亿美元政治敏感地区输出的商品：
soybeans from Iowa, autos from the Rust Belt and orange juice from Florida.
爱荷华出产的大豆，铁锈地带出产的汽车以及佛罗里达出产的橙汁。
People in those swing states are taking notice.
这些摇摆州的民众已经察觉到了问题的严重性。
“If we lose trade to China, our neighbors to the south will be glad to take up that trade,”
“如果我们失去与中国的贸易，我们南边的邻居会很高兴接手，”
says John Heisdorfer, an Iowa farmer and the president of the American Soybean Association.
爱荷华州农民、美国大豆协会会长约翰·海斯多夫说道。
Meanwhile, markets have responded poorly to Trump’s tariffs play, dipping repeatedly with new announcements.
与此同时，市场对特朗普的关税表演——不断有新的声明出现——的反应并不理想。
Even an internal assessment from the White House Council of Economic Advisers, the New York Times reported,
据《纽约时报》报道，即使是白宫经济顾问委员会的内部评估，
found that Trump’s trade agenda would hurt the U.S. economy.
也已经发现特朗普的贸易议程将有害于美国经济。
In the meantime, tax cuts and spending have exacerbated the trade deficit, which Trump ostensibly hopes to reduce—
与此同时，减税和支出加剧了贸易赤字，而特朗普明显是希望减少贸易赤字的——
although his former adviser Gary Cohn said at a recent Washington Post event
尽管他的前顾问加里·科恩最近在《华盛顿邮报》主办的一次活动上表示，
that “a trade deficit doesn’t matter” and can even be “helpful to our economy.”
“贸易赤字无关紧要”，甚至可能“有利于我国经济的发展”。
But Trump has remained determined to carry out his trade agenda, in contrast to his vacillations on other issues.
但特朗普依然坚持要推行他的贸易议程，他的这一举动与他在其他问题上的犹豫不决形成了鲜明的对比。
And he is counting on the tough-on-China play to deliver a win for his base and give Republicans a boost in the midterm elections.
他还指望对中国采取强硬态度能够为他的政治阵营扳回一局，提振共和党人在中期选举中的表现。
As he waits on the political effects to play out in November, the question is whether the economic effects will be felt by then too.
如今，他正等待着他的这一举措能够在11月的中期选举中发挥其政治影响，问题是届时其经济影响是否也会显现出来。
译文由可可原创，仅供学习交流使用，未经许可请勿转载。
