Sometimes it's cold out.
有时候外面很冷。
In fact, this 2017-18 winter is breaking RECORDS for how cold it's been!
事实上,2017年与18年交际的冬天冷得破了记录!
The last year has seen over 10 and a half thousand low temperature records broken.
去年有超过10500个低温记录被打破。
Prompting many to ask, is global warming even real?
于是许多人甚至不禁会问,全球变暖是真的吗?
I CAN SEE MY BREATH!
我能看见我的呼吸!
If you're one of the many who question global warming during the winter, you're not alone.
如果你也在冬天里,质疑全球变暖,那么还有人和你一样。
Remember when this happened? Snow?!
还记得这事发生是什么时候吗?雪?!
How can we have a warm globe and ALSO have snow!?
我们怎么可能同时拥有一个温暖的地球,同时还有雪!?
The difference is, and let me speak plainly here.
区别在于,让我在这里坦率地说。
WEATHER IS NOT CLIMATE.
天气不是气候。
Or, put another way, weather is MOOD climate is PERSONALITY.
或者,换言之,天气是心情,气候是性格。
You could tweet your hashtag current mood, but that's not your overall personality, right?
你可以发推,为现在的心情建个标签,但那不是你全部的性格,对吗?
When you think of the climate this way, it makes a lot more sense.
当你以这种方式看待气候时,它会更有意义。
Severe weather TODAY? That's a mood.
今天天气恶劣吗?那是一种心情。
MORE severe weather over years or decades? That's Earth's personality!
而在过去几年或几十年里,更加恶劣的天气呢?这就是地球的性格!
Citing severe winter as the reason there's no such thing as global warming is like saying:
以严冬为依据,说全球变暖不存在之类的说法就像是:
'I'm happy today, so I don't have depression, bi-polar disorder, anxiety, or issues with anger.'
“我今天很高兴,所以我没有抑郁症,双相障碍 ,焦虑,或愤怒的问题。”
No one can deny that fluctuation is just part of having a personality.
没有人能够否认情绪波动只是性格的一部分。
In this case, the personality of Mother Earth TODAY, is changing from how she used to be. And it's troubling.
在这种情况下,今天地球母亲的性格,正在发生不同以往的改变。而这令人烦恼。
Now, if you're one of those who deny Mother Earth's personality is changing, you're also not alone.
现在,如果你是否认地球母亲性格正在发生改变的人之一,那么还有人和你一样。
There are scientists who aren't sure if humans are causing this climate personality change.
有些科学家不确定是否是人类造成了这种气候上的变化。
To that I say, picture Albuquerque.
为此我说,看看阿尔伯克基。
From 1991 to 2012 there were nearly 14,000 peer-reviewed published scientific papers exploring climate science.
从1991年到2012年间,同行评议的气候科学论文,共有近14,000篇发表。
24 of those dissented and didn't blame humans.
其中24人不同意这种观点,认为人类不应受到责备。
To put those numbers in perspective, that's like saying every single person in the United States believes humans are causing climate change, but the population of Albuquerque doesn't.
为了让大家对这个数字有个认识,就好比在说每个美国人都相信人类正在影响气候变化,而只有阿尔伯克基人不以为然。
That's pretty astounding. Would you believe Albuquerque, or literally everyone else.
那真令人震惊。你会相信阿尔伯克基人,还是相信其他人?
Plus, even if YOU are just hearing about this today, science has centuries of research on weather, climate, and the atmosphere.
另外,即使你今天才刚刚听说此事,人类已经进行了长达几个世纪的天气,气候以及大气研究。
In 1824 a scientist named Joseph Fourier realized the Earth's atmosphere is what traps the sun's heat -- like the glass in a greenhouse.
1824年,一位名叫约瑟夫·傅里叶的科学家意识到,地球大气层正是收集太阳热量的媒介——就像温室的玻璃。
Next in 1859, physicist John Tyndall put some CO2 in a bottle and realized it trapped heat!
随后在1859年,物理学家约翰·丁达尔在瓶子里放了一些二氧化碳,意识到,这样就可以捕获热量了!
That was waaaay before accusations of a liberal conspiracy hit the internet.
这比自由主义阴谋论在网络上兴起要早太多了。
Then, in 1897, geologist Thomas Chamberlin wrote that the "conditions for life" might be subject to a delicate balance of CO2 in the sea, earth and air!
然后,1897年,地质学家托马斯·钱伯林写道,“生命孕育的条件”可能受到海洋、陆地以及大气中二氧化碳微妙平衡的影响!
And if we release the trapped CO2 from one of these, we could upset that balance.
如果我们从其中的一个环节,释放本被禁锢住的二氧化碳,我们就会打破平衡。
And that's what we've been doing.
而这正是我们一直在做的事。
It's been over 100 years and we're forcing Earth to change her personality -- to change her climate.
已经100年多了,我们迫使地球改变她的性格——改变她的气候。
The planet's PERSONALITY is shifting, and that's reflected in her MOOD swings.
地球的性格正在改变,这反映在她的情绪波动中。
Since the 1950s, winter storms ARE getting worse.
自20世纪50年代以来,冬季暴风雪越来越严重。
The heaviest storms happen when the surface temperature is between 32 and 28 degrees.
当地表温度介于32度至28度之间时,会发生最强风暴。
That's still cold, Mr Snowball in Congress, but it used to be much colder!
雪球先生在国会,仍然很冷,但过去的天气更冷!
This warmer air can hold more moisture which means more snow, more rain, and less freezing.
这种更加温暖的空气可以容纳更多的水分,这意味着雨雪增多,而冰冻减少。
So, even though winter exists and one part of Earth might be cold right this second, it's still hotter everywhere on average.
因此,即使严冬存在,地球的一点,可能是冷的,就在这一秒,但平均来讲,其他地方仍会更热。
Record hot days are topping record cold days three to one.
超高温天气与超低温天气发生的记录是三比一。
And that's because Fourier was wrong, the atmosphere is not a sheet of glass.
那是因为傅立叶错了,大气不是一片玻璃。
It's a multilayered complex and ever-changing system that we are still grasping an understanding of.
而是一个多层复杂,不断变化的系统,是一个我们仍正在掌握理解的概念。
In the end, the trend of our climate will continue, with stronger storms, wetter weather, and eventually higher average sea levels, less ice and who knows what else.
最后,我们的气候趋势将继续下去,风暴更猛烈,天气更潮湿,最终平均海平面升高,冰层减少,谁知道还有什么。
Objective and documented observation says that's where this trail of moods leads.
客观和有记录的观察表明,这就是情绪的线索。
As the personality of our climate changes, we're going to have to live with a Mother Earth who is quick to anger, lashes out, and is less kind to her human passengers.
随着气候发生改变,我们将不得不与一个愤怒的地球母亲生活在一起,她对我们人类乘客很不友善。
But hey, at least we can still pack snowballs and tweet denials.
但是,嘿,至少我们还可以攒雪球和发推否认。
Special thanks to Domain.com for sponsoring this episode of Seeker.
特别感谢Domain.com赞助本期节目。
Obviously climate science is really really complicated, and there's lots of other things to consider here, but you know your opinion is important.
显然,气候科学真的相当复杂,还有很多其他的事情需要考虑,但是你知道,你的观点很重要。
Also watch this video if you want more climate science, and thanks so much for watching Seeker.
如果你想要更多的气候科学,可以观看这段视频,非常感谢您的收看。