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McCain is outspend Obama last I checked 7 to 1 and that may have changed
麦凯恩在该州所花选举经费是奥巴马的7倍，现在这个数字也许有所变化
Obama figured ,well,Minnesota I don't have to worry about that
奥巴马认为明尼苏达州已几乎胜券在握
McCain says there're some concerns in Minnesota
而麦凯恩则还有点放不下
They've actually been trending a little bit more to the conservative direction
觉得他们似乎正在倾向保守的共和党
We may be able to take that
我在这个州似乎有点胜算
So generally Obama is way outspent McCain but not in Minnesota
所以虽奥巴马的竞选总开销远大于麦凯恩，但在明尼苏则相反
So yes you get the focus of money spending and campaigning in these swing states
你注意到了在摇摆州的竞选开销和拉票活动
They got a lot of electoral votes. They can go either way
这些州选票很多，所以他们想方设法争取
Because a lot states are fairly safe
因为他们认为安全的州不必去争
Although right now states John McCain thought would safe, a lot them appeared not so safe anymore
但有很多麦凯恩认为安全的州事实上现在已不那么安全
One thing interesting is back in the days before you have a strong primary system
我要讲一个有趣的现象，在稳定的初选制度形成之前
When it was man in the smoke-filled rooms who picked the candidates
各党是通过在密谈室里商榷来确定候选人名单
They almost always picked the candidates from the swing states
他们总会选来自摇摆州的候选人
Go back and look at elections what we will
回顾以前的大选
late 1800s, early 1900s they were all from New York Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana and Illinois, virtually all of them
19世纪末20世纪初的大选候选人几乎都来自纽约州、宾夕法尼亚州、俄亥俄州、印第安纳州和伊利诺伊州，几乎没有例外
New York and Ohio again and again.both parties.
来自纽约和俄亥俄的候选人尤其多。两党候选人都是如此
The democratic party never pick a southerner and they know they had the south
那时民主党从不选南方人做候选人，因为他们知道他们能稳拿南部
There is no point picking a southerner
选一个南方人起不了作用
You pick someone from New York because that was then a swing state and the republicans did the same thing
应该选一个来自纽约的，因为当时纽约是个摇摆州共和党人也是这么做的
So it's interesting when you go into the periods when the primaries are primary
所以回顾那个初选内定的年代，情况是很有趣的
You have democrats nominating a couple of candidates from Massachusetts
民主党人提名来自马萨诸塞的候选人
I mean it never would happened before because the party bosses would have said poor electoral strategy
这在当时是不可能发生的，因为该党领袖肯定会认为这完全不符合竞选战略
We don' t want a Kerry or Dukakis
我们不要克里或杜卡基斯这样的候选人
They're not gonna play that well in state like Missouri
他们在密苏里等州不会获得高支持率
Let's get somebody from a swing state
选一个来自摇摆州的候选人吧
So again, if anyone has other views on this, please jump in, I'd love to hear
如果你们有其他看法，尽管提出来，我很愿意听
